Shrinking Dollar

Over the last 12-month period ending July 2003, the U.S. dollar greenback has slid to a greater extent or less 15% in transnational comfort against the Euro (Reuters Investor). Now that the Iraq war is supposedly oer, the market value of the U.S. horse in comparison to the Euro passim the last half(a) of 2003 whitethorn solidify the Euros dominance all over the U.S. Dollar in the internationalist investment conjunction. The United States dollars go on devaluation against the Euro and may continue for some time. However, as consumer confidence extends, kindred it has over the recent quarter, it may help to turn this exasperate about for the US Dollar (Martens). Federal Reserve death president Alan Greenspan in a March 2002 speech pointed out that as foreign investment in the US has been increasing since the oculus 1990s, investors will make up wary about the soaring deficits in the eternal rest of payments. Simply put, as foreign companies were fueling the U. S. jacket crown stock market over the noncurrent few years, the U.S. is outright sending to a greater extent please payments and dividends abroad and becoming more and more dependent on external money. In addition, more international financial transactions, previously monopolized by the U.S. Dollar currency, atomic number 18 at a time being made in the Euro. A true guardianship that the U.S. may have, with its long-standing romance with anoint, is that OPEC and the international oil selling community will follow this pass away and also switch to the Euro (Clark). For example, non counting in the skeptical British, the Japanese, Chinese and other oversea investors may very well get back in the next that they prefer to deal in the Euro which would contri simplye to a work shift in preferred currency for oil and raw materials (Martens). angiotensin-converting enzyme certain advantage to a strengthening Euro is that it everyows for U.S. goods to be exported at more favorable prices to those countries using t! he Euro. In this way, maybe the U.S. give the bounce begin to climb out of its scotch slump by selling exports at more militant prices to Euro wielding countries. Likewise, some U.S. companies are beginning to dump European subsidiaries in raise to some(prenominal) downsize and avoid dearly-won European inputs in order to polish off advantage of falling prices in the U.S. man the U.S. has certainly seen macroscopic external debts before, the annual deficit of the balance of payments is now approximately 5% of its GDP (Martens). This is, in part, a result of interest rates in the U.S. being at nearly an all time low, which is providing little incentive for foreign entities to invest hood in the U.S. This, as Greenspan noted, reduces opportunity to increase productivity, create interior(prenominal) jobs and reduce the current account balance (HSBC). The scrub Administrations fiscal policy certainly does not seem to talk each of the above issues as it still seems to b e cerebrate on increasing consumer spending (Bases).

This, in example, directly conflicts with Greenspans sound judgement that change magnitude domestic savings would help get out much require capital in the U.S. necessary to render up for rock-bottom investments in the U.S. by foreign companies (David). So, it corpse to be seen whether or not the Euro will be dropped in favor of the U.S. Dollar, but in the meantime, foreign imports have become increasingly expensive over the last year, forcing consumers to buy more domestic goods, which in turn contributes to the increased consumer spending that has happened periodically over the past three months. The performance of the Euro will be hard for the U.S. Dollar to bring down. I, for o! ne, am not convert this is merely a temporary position for the U.S: Dollar. Sources:Clark, William. Review: Dollar vs. Euro War hypertext transfer protocol://www.offnews.info/inteligencia_seguridad/dollar_euro.htmDavid, Javier. FOREX-Euro pares losses, still eyes 3-1/2 month low, 19 August 19, 2003. www.reuters.comMartens, Hans. European indemnity Centre, 5 May 2003 hypertext transfer protocol://www.theepc.net/challenge/dossiersdetail.asp? go down=The%20EuroBases, Daniel. Consumer Sentiment Falls Unexpectedly, 19 August 2003. www.reuters.comHSBC bills Weekly, 13 July 2003, http://www.ameinfo.com/news/ exposit/26118.html If you want to get a full essay, order it on our website: OrderEssay.net

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